News: Articles
A Look at Merger and Acquisition Mania
within the High-Tech Service Industry
By
Michael R. Blumberg
As we come out of the economic doldrums that characterized
the first half this decade, mergers and acquisitions appear
to be an effective strategy to ensure revenue growth and good
financial returns within the high-tech service industry. Indeed,
during the second half of 2004, we observed an increased level
of activity in the area of mergers and acquisitions (M&A)
within the high-tech service industry. This activity will no
doubt continue well into 2005.
The trend toward M&A is driven by the fact
that the high-tech service industry is very fragmented, which
makes it ripe for consolidation. The increased level of attention
by corporations on the topics of closed-loop supply chain management,
reverse logistics, e-waste management /e-recycling, and regulatory
compliance is further fueling this trend. In essence, consolidation
of our fragmented industry enables a strategic service buyer
to very quickly build the economies of scale and create the
critical mass needed to provide after-market services associated
with closed-loop supply chain, reverse logistics, and e-waste
/e-recycling on a profitable and efficient basis. In essence,
these stylistic industry trends are the factors that are fueling
the demand for companies to acquire. At the same time there
are a number of mature companies serving this industry that
are looking for a liquidity event as part of an overall exit
strategy. This is particularly true of a number independent
service organizations (ISOs) that were founded in the 1980s
and whose owners are reaching retirement age; these individuals
are ready to take their cash out of the business, thus creating
the supply to fulfill demand.
To illustrate the level of activity in this area,
we point to the following transactions that occurred in the
second half of 2004:
- Synstar acquisition by Hewlett-Packard
- Compucom acquisition by Platinum Equity Holdings
- Hays Logistics acquisition by Platinum Equity Holdings
In addition to these well publicized deals, there
are another dozen or so firms who are actively involved in acquisitions.
Many of these companies are U.S. based firms actively attempting
to establish a business base elsewhere in North America, the
U.K., or Europe. In fact, we believe that we have now entered
the early stages of a “seller’s market.” In
a seller’s market, companies can typically generate acquisition
multiples in the range of 80% to 120% of revenue.
One of the most important steps in completing
an acquisition is to arrive at appropriate valuation for the
targeted acquisition. The major, measurable characteristics
used in evaluating a service organization for acquisition include
its size and existing economies of scale, geographic coverage,
technology focus, service systems and infrastructure in place,
public or private ownership, recent (4- 5 year) growth record,
and revenue and profit record and forecasts for 3- 5 years.
A more specific approach to determining the relative
value or worth of a service business to an acquirer involves
the consideration of five major criteria:
- High-density market and technology base
- Focus on specialized vertical market segments and/or niches
- Strong marketing and sales force in place
- Understanding of market perception and requirements (focus
on value-in-use pricing, value-added services)
- Sophisticated infrastructure and systems, including call
management, optimized scheduling, TAC/help desk, logistics
management, and systems support.
In general, these and other criteria are then
used to determine the acquisition price of a target company.
Four general accepted acquisition-pricing models can be directly
applied to service organizations:
- Percent-of-revenue model: Involves setting
the estimated acquisition price as a percentage of annual
revenues received. Prices can range from 50% to 150% of revenues
for private companies and 100% to 300% for public companies
- Multiples-of-profits or operating income model:
Price estimate is set as a multiple of operating income or
cash flow. Prices can range from 5 to 15 times pretax profit
for a private company and 10 to 25 times for a public company
- EBITDA/Cash flow model: Price is determined
as a multiple of cash flow or earnings before income tax,
depreciation, and amortorization (EBITDA). Typically, observed
multiples can range from profits and 3 to 11 times EBITDA
for private companies and 6 to 10 for public companies
- Value-in-use model: This is the most complex
pricing model because it requires an estimated valuation reflective
of an estimate of the incremental value of the acquisition
to the purchaser as a flow or at a point in time.
A purchaser would typically determine which type of valuation
model it prefers based on the financial data available and industry-comparable
performance. The buyer and seller would then agree on an acquisition
price taking into account the five criteria listed above. For
example, under the percent-of-revenue model, a private organization
meeting all five pricing criteria in a high-growth, low-competition
market may be priced at or slightly over 150% of revenue, while
an organization that meets none might barely command 50% of
revenue.
It should also be noted that the valuation parameters presented
here are generalized across service organizations, and variations
exist between broad organizational categories. Low-tech equipment
maintenance and repair operations may be at, or even below,
the ranges given here. In contrast, high-tech niche players
in “hot” markets may command multiples significantly
higher than those presented. For example, organizations with
strong performance in high-end professional services tend to
sell at premium prices. In all cases, validations of public
companies are more volatile than their private counterparts.
Given the range in price valuations for a service company and
the emergence of a “sellers market,” potential buyers
should have a very clear understanding of the marketplace in
terms of its size, structure, and growth forecast, as well as
the characteristics of potential acquisition candidates in the
market. A clearly defined acquisition strategy that defines
and profiles the optimal characteristics of an acquisition company
is also recommended. This will ensure that ensure that: 1) the
company is not looking for the proverbial “needle in the
haystack” when pursuing acquisition targets, and 2) the
buyer and seller can mutually agree on a realistic acquisition
price. There is no reason why a premium price should not be
paid if the acquisition candidate does indeed add considerable
value to the buyer’s overall growth strategy. Likewise,
a seller should also have a good sense of their valuation. Selling
a company is not that much different than selling a product
or service. The seller should anticipate a buyer’s needs
and have a very good idea of the value they bring to the buyer.
A clearly defined exit strategy or divestiture strategy is also
recommended to potential sellers. The strategy should take into
account the type of valuation the seller would like to obtain
from the buyer as well as the identification of a specific company
or category of companies that would provide an optimal valuation
and thus represent a good buyer(s). This approach will also
ensure that a qualified buyer is found and a realistic price
is established, a key requirement to any transaction. In essence,
knowledge of the market, industry comparables, financial metrics
and operating benchmarks, and company characteristics is critical
to both the buyer and the seller in any successful M&A transaction.
© Copyright 2004 D.F. Blumberg Associates, Inc.
___________________________________________________________
Michael R. Blumberg, MBA, CMC, an authority on marketing research/strategy
formulation in the high-technology service market, is president
of D.F. Blumberg & Associates, Inc, a Fort Washington, PA
based management consulting firm that provides client services
in strategic planning, market research, productivity improvement,
and management systems design and implementation. You may reach
him at michaelb@dfba.com
or (215) 643-9060.
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